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2 hours agoAuthor: Priyank Dwivedi
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The results of Bihar assembly elections have come. The NDA, led by Chief Minister Nitish Kumar, has secured 125 seats in the assembly comprising 243 assembly seats. At the same time, the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) -led grand alliance has won 110 seats. Eight seats have gone to the account of others. Even after not getting majority, RJD's Tejashwi Yadav claimed on Thursday that his own government would be formed in Bihar. If that's really so, how is it possible? let's watch…
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How to become a stunning Chief Minister?
A majority of 122 seats are required in the Bihar Legislative Assembly. The Grand Alliance currently has only 110 seats. If the RJD is to form a government, it will need the support of at least 12 MLAs for a majority. In such a situation, the Grand Alliance has 4 options to form a government.
First option: Tejashwi Yadav will have to first bring 8 MLAs from other parties together to become the Chief Minister. After this, if they get angry with Nitish, former Chief Minister Jitan Ram Manjhi's party, along with 4 MLAs of Ham, then his government can be formed.
Grand Alliance (110) + Other Parties (8) + Us (4) = 122
Second option: Tejashwi Yadav can take his support if VIP's Mukesh Sahni is confident of a good position in the cabinet. If other parties stay with them So this situation will become:
Grand Alliance (110) + Other Parties (8) + VIP (4) = 122
Third option: We and VIPs in the NDA support the grand alliance of Tejashwi Yadav and he is supported by at least 4 of the 8 MLAs of other parties.
Grand Alliance (110) + us (4) + VIP (4) + other parties (4) = 122
Fourth option: Nitish is angry with the BJP at this time because he did not make serious efforts to stop Chirag Paswan's LJP. This led to Nitish's JD (U) losing 36 seats. If angry Nitish breaks the NDA and goes with the Grand Alliance, then it can become an option:
Grand Alliance (110) + JD (U) (43) = 153
How difficult is the path of glory?
Tejashwi will have to bring other parties together for the first and second options. It has 5 MLAs from Asaduddin Owaisi, one each from BSP-LJP and one Independent MLA. It is not as easy as it is to say. In fact, Chirag Paswan would not like to offend Modi in Delhi, in which case he is unlikely to go to the Grand Alliance. Similarly, Owaisi's ability to sit on a bench with the Congress can harm his politics.
Tejaswi seems to find a third option more appropriate. For this, they have also stepped up efforts. RJD has approached Mukesh Sahni of VIP and Jitanram Manjhi of Hum (Secular). Sources claim that RJD has also offered Sahni and Manjhi the position of deputy CM.
As far as the fourth option is concerned, Nitish will have to accept Tejashwi as the Chief Minister for this. It won't be that easy. Even after being a big party, BJP has made it clear that if Nitish will become the Chief Minister, then he will not have any specific reason to tell him to go with RJD. Not only this, Nitish has already said that this is his last election. It does not seem that they will accept any deal less than the Chief Minister. His 2015 experience with the Grand Alliance has not been very good. In such a situation, the future of Tejashwi will be decided only.
Can the Governor invite RJD to form the government as a big party?
No. Constitution expert Subhash Kashyap believes that Tejashwi is only claiming to create political pressure. They have no way nor majority. Alliances were formed before the election. One of these coalitions, the NDA, has a majority. Because of this, the governor will call the leader of the largest coalition to form the government first. If the NDA does not claim to form the government until the term of the Assembly is over, they can follow the tradition and call the largest party.
The same procedure was followed in Maharashtra. There too, when the coalition formed before the elections (NDA) did not present a claim to form the government, the largest party was called to form the government.